The Anti-Manichaeist

Mark Shields provides a nice readable list of what doesn’t matter and what does matter for the outcomes of elections.

The factors he says matter are debates, events(often outside of the candidates control), and turn-out. I think key to turnout will be the Republican’s attempts to frame the election as about values, or Abortion/homosexual marriages. Kerry is already opposed to permitting homosexual marriages. If he came out in favor of the legal redefinition of when human personhood began along the lines I’ve set out, then that could go a good ways to thwarting the high turnout of socially and religiously conservative voters for Bush.

dlw